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Life in limbo: Iran under a fragile ceasefire

The bombings may have stopped, but life in Iran feels anything but normal. Weeks after a fragile ceasefire ended the 40-day war between Iran, the United States and Israel, the nation remains trapped in a state of fear, exhaustion and uncertainty, as Fariba Sahraei reports.

7-minute read

Fear and exhaustion hang over Tehran as ordinary Iranians struggle through economic collapse, repression and the lingering trauma of war. Photo: Reuters

In Tehran, the atmosphere is tense and subdued. Repression  has intensified, the economy is nearing collapse,  unemployment is on the rise and deepening poverty is pushing  ordinary people to the brink. 

‘We are only trying to survive,’ says Armin, a Tehran resident  whose name has been changed for security reasons. ‘We are  living under a naval blockade. Goods can no longer enter Iran,  and that alone has created enormous fear among people. We are  terrified.’ 

Beneath the fragile ceasefire, life is overshadowed by anxiety, fear  and uncertainty. ‘The country feels suspended between war and  collapse,’ says Armin. ‘People no longer talk about dreams or  freedom. Everyone is focused on survival.’ 

Despite free fares introduced during the crisis, Tehran’s metro stations remain subdued as fear, uncertainty and economic hardship keep manyresidents indoors. 

The metro is now free yet stations remain unusually quiet.  Despair is visible everywhere as food prices soar and fears of food  shortages grow. ‘At every moment, we fear famine is coming,’  Armin says. ‘People buy and store whatever they can. The stress  is destroying everyone.’ Prices rise almost daily, pushing large  parts of the middle class toward poverty and leaving poorer  families struggling to survive.

Soaring inflation and shortages of basic goods are  pushing millions of Iranians deeper into poverty. 

The US naval blockade of Iran has dealt a severe blow to the  country’s already fragile economy. Surging inflation has  deepened public anxiety, while essential imports have slowed  dramatically, leading to shortages of medicine, baby formula  and basic household goods. The effects are felt in nearly every  household. Iran’s currency has plunged to a record low of  1,830,000 rials to the US dollar, affecting every aspect of daily  life. Before the war started it was around 42,000 to the dollar. ‘A  pack of eggs now costs almost five times more than before the  war. Prices rise every day,’ says Sadra, another Tehran resident  whose name has been withheld for security reasons. ‘Bread has  become extremely expensive. So has petrol, oil, car parts, and  rent.’ 

The economic consequences of the war, compounded by  deep-rooted corruption, have been devastating. According to  Iranian official statistics, the annual inflation rate has risen to  more than 53 per cent, while food prices have reportedly risen by  over 115 per cent. Several major industries, including steel,  petrochemicals and car manufacturing, reportedly suspended  operations during the war or cut production, triggering waves of  layoffs across the country. 

Medicine shortages and rising healthcare costs are leaving vulnerable patients across Iran at risk. Photo: Reuters 

The healthcare system has been hit hard by the crisis. Medicine  shortages and soaring prices are putting lives at risk across Iran.  According to the country’s pharmacists’ association, the cost of some medications has reportedly risen by as much as 400 per  cent, while pharmacies are struggling to supply critical drugs to  patients. ‘My mother suffers from severe heart disease, but her  medication, Plavix, has almost disappeared from pharmacies,’  says ‘Saeed’, a shopworker in Tehran. ‘Earlier this year, a sheet of  pills cost 3,000,000 rials. Now it costs nearly 16,000,000, a more  than five times price increase. We simply can’t afford it anymore.’

Alongside the economic collapse, repression has also intensified.  By the end of May, Iranians had endured more than 90 days  without access to the global internet, leaving a population of  nearly 90 million people cut off from the outside world as  authorities feared another wave of anti-government protests.  ‘Our voice has been cut off,’ says Armin. ‘Without the internet,  we are living under enormous mental pressure. Many businesses  depended on the internet. Now they are ruined. We are facing  extreme psychological stress, anxiety and hardship in every  possible way.’ 

Internet blackouts, surveillance and street  checkpoints have deepened fear and isolation inside Iran. Image AI generated 

Cities are dominated by surveillance, arrests and checkpoints.  Security forces routinely stop people, searching mobile phones  for VPNs and social media activity. ‘None of us dares to go  outside with our mobiles anymore,’ Sadra says. ‘They stop people  in the streets and check everything. We delete apps. We hide  everything.’ 

At night, Tehran takes on a different face. Security forces, Basij  militia families and regime supporters gather in major squares  waving flags and blasting songs and slogans in an apparent effort  to intimidate opponents. Executions have intensified since the  ceasefire. Rights groups and residents report a sharp rise in  executions since the ceasefire, including prisoners accused of  espionage or collaboration with the enemy. Almost every day,  one or two political prisoners are executed on charges of  espionage or ‘collaboration with the enemy’. 

For many anti-regime Iranians, the war shattered lingering  hopes that external pressure might ultimately lead to regime  change in Iran. Earlier this year, millions of protesters poured  into the streets demanding freedom, only to face bullets by  security forces, during which thousands were massacred in cold  blood. Now, many believe the regime has emerged from the war  more dangerous than before. 

‘Donald Trump keeps talking about regime change,’ Sadra says  bitterly. ‘Nothing has changed. The same people are still in  power. The regime has become wilder now.’ Yet despite the  regime being significantly weakened, many believe the Islamic  Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is now relying on its last  remaining card to stay in power: threatening to keep the Strait of  Hormuz closed, thereby disrupting the global economy.

Both Tehran and Washington continue to claim victory even as  peace talks remain deadlocked. Inside Iran, however, many  people are gripped by growing hopelessness and fear. The  psychological toll is becoming impossible to ignore. Mental  health professionals report rising depression and suicide  attempts. 

‘It’s been 50 days without work, without internet, without  normal life,’ Sadra says. ‘Everyone feels emotionally dead.’ Even  ordinary conversations have become dangerous. ‘Every time we  speak on the phone, we warn each other: ‘Don’t say this. Don’t  mention that,’ he says. ‘We feel like hostages of a regime that has  become more dangerous and unpredictable than ever.’ The  trauma of the war remains vivid. Many feel trapped between  US-Israeli bombs and the regime’s bullets. 

A woman walks past a banner of Iran’s slain  Supreme Leader at Tehran University. After US and  Israeli strikes killed much of the country’s top  leadership, Iran now faces deep economic crisis and growing uncertainty. 

‘What are we supposed to do?’ Sadra asks. ‘Go into the streets?  We’ll be shot dead. All we want is a normal life. That’s all.’ Many  Iranians feel stuck, unable to challenge the regime, fearful of  another war, yet increasingly unable to endure the crushing  conditions surrounding them. ‘When we hear thunder, we think  the war has started again,’ Armin says. ‘We hoped this war might  finally lead to freedom. But instead, everything has become  worse.’ 

For now, the bombings have stopped, but for millions of people  inside Iran, the fear has not disappeared. Donald Trump says the  ceasefire with Iran is now on ‘life support’ and that the US naval  blockade will continue. The question now is whether Iran’s  economy can survive the pressure, or whether growing  desperation and food shortages will trigger new waves of  anti-regime protest.

By Fariba Sahraei

She is a UK-based journalist and filmmaker who has worked with the BBC, Channel 4 News and ABC News. She has previously reported from Iran and, through her extensive network, has interviewed residents in Tehran for this piece.

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