Advertisement Ad

Democracy Asia Magazine brings you trusted timely and thought-provoking stories from around the globe.

Quick Contact:

  • 07974960666
  • info@democracyasia.com
  • 35 Bow Road, London, England, E3 2AD
Get In Touch
Share on:

Bisinomics

The United States’ military operation in Venezuela, culminating in the abduction and rendition to New York of its president, Nicolas Maduro, is potentially an economic blow to China. Chinese credit to the South American country amounts to around US$10 billion. The South China Morning Post, quoting analysts, reported that Caracas could challenge the very legitimacy of the debts.

6-minute read

Iran 
International crude oil and natural gas prices surged sharply after  Iran – as a tactical response to Israel and the United States’  military attacks – choked the movement of non-Iranian vessels  through the Strait of Hormuz. 

The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimated that in 2025  around 20 million barrels of crude oil and related products passed  through the 100-mile stretch of water daily, equal to about 25  percent of the world’s seaborne oil traffic. 

The IEA also calculated that about 19 percent of global liquefied  natural gas (LNG) is shipped through this waterway. Revenues of  major exporters, such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait and Qatar were  thus significantly affected. The latter, the world’s second-largest  exporter of LNG, announced a production halt at its 77 million  tons per annum facility and declared force majeure on shipments. 

Countries dependent on energy from overseas, especially Asian  nations east of the Gulf, such as India, the world’s third largest  importer – were not only burdened by a steep hike in prices but  confronted by a potential short-term shortage, especially of LNG. 

Iran, while being ceaselessly pounded by bombs, missiles and  drones, continued to fulfil its commitments until its gas field in  South Pars, one of the world’s largest, was struck by Israel. 

Neighbouring Iraq, which depended on supplies from the field,  was the immediate sufferer. Iran retaliated for the damage to  South Pars by hitting an industrial site in Ras Laffan in Qatar. 
Iranian oil flows were mainly directed towards China – the world’s  biggest importer. According to trade data analyst Kpler, it was  continuing to receive 1.25 million barrels a day. China pressed Iran  not to disrupt energy movement through the Strait of Hormuz.  Beijing had already turned to Moscow to replace shipments from  Venezuela, stopped since the ouster of its president Nicolas  Maduro in a commando operation ordered by US President  Donald Trump in January. 

One of the consequences of the blitz on Iran was food prices fast  approaching a level where poorer families were finding  consumption unaffordable. Iranian media quoted bakers and  grocers as saying advance payments made by wealthy customers  were enabling them to extend credits to others for bread and meat.  Meanwhile, a flight of capital from Iran accelerated. Central Bank  of Iran figures suggested more money left the country than  entered it from its trade surplus. 

The run-up to Nowruz, the Persian New Year holiday, on 20 March  usually sees an economic bustle in Iran with the buying of  presents, new clothes and widespread festivities. This year, with  Iranians fearing to venture out of their homes because of the  Israeli and US bombardment, retail came to a standstill, thereby  delivering another blow to Iran’s fiscal well-being.

Gulf Cooperation Council 

The Qatar-based television news network Al Jazeera quoted an  associate professor of politics and international relations at Zayed  University in Dubai, Khaled Almezaini, as saying, ‘Disruptions to  aviation, tourism, shipping routes and energy exports combined  with higher insurance premiums and freight costs mean the region  is likely losing hundreds of millions of dollars per day in economic  activity.’ 

Despite aggressive diversification in recent decades, a large  proportion of the GDPs of GCC member countries Qatar, Kuwait,  Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Oman  are founded on oil and gas production. All have faced a barrage of  retaliatory drones and missiles from Iran, which have caused  destruction in varying degrees. The first three are particularly  exposed to Iran choking off the Strait of Hormuz. 

The short-term impact of Shia Iran hitting out at Sunni Arab states  is a throttling of their vital energy exports. In the medium term,  foreigners from the world over who have been attracted to the area  as an investment destination, a business hub, a place of residence  (perhaps to escape paying taxes in their countries of origin) or a  sandy riviera may now think twice about its charm and safety. An  analyst from the UAE at an International Institute for Strategic  Studies (IISS) seminar in London felt maintaining US military  bases on their territories could be up for review as a long-term  peace formula with Iran. That would demand mutual trust, which  has presently plummeted. 

Malaysia 

Some Southeast Asian destinations are feeling the pinch of air  flight cancellations and rising prices because of the war in West  Asia. But others, such as Malaysia, may be better positioned to  weather the storm, even capitalise on it. 

Thailand and Indonesia – including the much sought-after resort  of Bali – have been among the most vulnerable to the shock.  European visitors to these countries preferred to shy away because  of longer flights triggered by planes having to avoid the airspace of  the conflict zone. 

But Malaysia is different. European tourists, who account for only  15% of its trade, stay longer and spend more. Yet, this could be  offset by strong demand from East Asia, India and ASEAN  countries. 'We are in a sweet spot at the moment, very much like  Singapore,’ Nigel Wong, president of the Malaysian Association of  Tour and Travel Agents, told the Singaporean news channel CNA.

Japan 
Signage at a gas station in Kyodo Japan reads ‘Sorry, out of gasoline because of  Trump’. Photo: Kyodo News 

The crude oil crunch compelled the Japanese government to roll  out gasoline subsidies, after forecourt prices reached an  unprecedented high. Japan Times reported that snack maker  Yamayoshi Seika had stopped producing six of its items, notably  its flagship Wasabeef potato chips, because manufacturing these  required heavy oil usage and oil was in short supply.

By Editorial Staff

Our dedicated team of journalists and editors work tirelessly to bring you the most accurate and insightful news coverage. With a passion for storytelling and a commitment to journalistic integrity, our team strives to keep you informed about the latest developments shaping our world.

Related News

Data, democracy and the new art of war

By Sham Banerji July 2026

Data is becoming the nervous system of the modern state. AI can help democracies govern better and fight smarter, but it can also turn public service into surveillance, as Sham Banerji reports.

Bisinomics

July 2026

Semiconductors Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, which  dominates production of the world’s most advanced chips,  reported May revenue up nearly 30 percent year on year after  debuting its advanced A13 process technology earlier this year. After the volatility caused by the war in West Asia, Asian markets  have been recovering strongly in the tech and semiconductor  sectors. Stocks in Japan’s Nikkei and South Korea’s Kospi  bounced back, partly as hopes rose of a deal between the United  States and Iran over their armed conflict. Chipmakers like South  Korea’s Samsung were leading the comeback. The country’s stock  market is approaching developed-market status according to  MSCI (Morgan Stanley Capital International). To add to the buoyancy, chipmaker ChangXin Memory  Technologies of China received regulatory approval for a US$4.2  billion initial public offering (IPO). This reflected wider  international excitement over AI infrastructure. Japan Japan plans to send a delegation to Greenland this summer to  study the possibility of mining rare earths and other critical  minerals, as it seeks to reduce reliance on China. US President  Donald Trump had previously threatened to annex the vast  Arctic island. So, Tokyo’s move, announced on the eve of the G7  summit in Évian-les-Bains, France, was unlikely to please Trump. Rare-earth minerals have become strategically  important as countries seek secure supplies for  advanced manufacturing, clean energy technologies  and defence industries. Photo: Resources ReviewOn a positive note, Takaichi advanced discussions with British  Prime Minister Keir Starmer, on their countries’ plan to sign an  £18 billion UK-Japan climate-related investment deal as warnings  grew that a strong El Niño could disrupt weather patterns and  test the UK’s climate preparedness. They also talked about how  to finance the proposed Anglo-Japanese joint venture to  manufacture combat aircraft.  Strait of Hormuz impact Insurance Asia quoted Oliver Miloschewsky, head of shipping for  Asia at Aon Plc, as saying, ‘What has shifted is not demand itself,  but how risk is priced, managed and operationalised in  delivering that demand.’ This was in reference to insurance cover  for voyages through the Strait of Hormuz. This suggests,  notwithstanding a ceasefire, that insurers remain cautious and  high insurance costs may continue.  Commercial shipping passing through the Strait of  Hormuz, a vital energy corridor where geopolitical  tensions continue to influence insurance costs, trade flows and energy security. Photo: Reuters Asian currencies continued to face an onslaught because of  foreign investors preferring to lock in profits from historically  high returns from Asian equity and repatriate funds. Lipper  Alpha Insight reported that ‘rising risk aversion has triggered  significant foreign selling’. The publication said foreign  ownership of Indian equities was ‘the lowest in nearly 15 years’.  Nearly US$20 billion has been withdrawn in the first half of 2026  from India. Amid the turmoil, the US has become India’s top gas  supplier after a force majeure freeze in exports from Qatar. China ‘China is innovative. Its economy is a mess. Which matters  more?’ The Economist asked, calling that ‘A question that will  define the 21st century’. This is a moot point, since China is the  world’s second biggest economy, Asia’s largest and a major engine  for Asian growth and prosperity. If Trump leaves the US economy in tatters a sensible successor  will likely start undoing the damage and the US will definitely  rebound. If China, despite totalitarian stability, is struggling  economically, then Asia – indeed the world – will need other  props.‘Since 2021 Chinese president Xi Jinping has steered China’s  economy away from a preoccupation with property (building it,  selling it and finishing it) towards high-tech manufacturing and  ‘new productive forces’, as the paramount leader calls them. ‘But  are the new forces big enough to fill the gap left by the old?,’ The  Economist asked, answering ‘Probably not big enough to offset  the drag from the old.’ India In 2010, when Manmohan Singh was India’s prime minister and  India was still widely discussed as a rising economic power, TIME magazine carried a debate on India and China’s economic  prospects. The cover said, ‘INDIA vs CHINA’, and posed the  question: ‘Which Economy Will Rule The World?’ and pictured  an elephant (representing India) and a dragon (signifying China)  locked in a tussle. Within the magazine, some experts bet on  India surpassing China this century. Today, such a suggestion would be treated as a joke. However,  resolution of the rivalry between these two economic powers  could lie in the potency of the combined strength of Asia’s ‘tiger’  economies, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan.  East Asia South Korea’s president, Lee Jae Myung, appears to have steadied  his nation from the turbulence caused by his predecessor, Yoon  Suk Yeol, who declared martial law in 2024 before being  impeached last year. Referring to the upheaval in an interview  with The Economist, Mr Lee declared that his country could  ‘move beyond this normalisation of the abnormal’. The magazine  warned that ‘challenges loom’. Japan’s JERA signed a 20-year liquefied natural gas supply deal  with Malaysia’s Petronas. The shock of shutdowns in supplies  from the Gulf prompted Japan to diversify its purchases.  Malaysia was seen as a trustworthy ally. Analysts said Kuala  Lumpur is leveraging its natural resources to rise as a ‘middle  power’. Central Asia is attracting growing international  interest as investors look to the region's mineral  resources, transport links and expanding role in global supply chains. Central Asia Bucking adversity elsewhere, Central Asian economies promise a  strong 5.2 per cent growth projection. The Times of Central Asia reported that US investors are showing interest in Kazakhstan’s  critical mineral riches, focusing on both extraction and  processing. The paper also reported that Kyrgyzstan and Georgia  are exploring ways to connect their transport plans to the  China-Kyrgyzstan-Uzbekistan railway, with Bishkek seeking  access to Georgia’s Black Sea ports.

The Xi-Trump talks: was anything achieved?

By Sir Vince Cable June 2026

The talks between presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump were important and timely though the mood music was subdued. Expectations were low and were, if anything, underachieved with little more than a few gestures of commercial goodwill. Former British minister for Business, Skills and Innovation Vince Cable reports.

Bisinomics

June 2026

India is the world’s third-largest importer of oil. It faces a ballooning economic challenge because of the sharp increase in energy prices and an uncomfortably low level of reserves caused by reduced supplies from the Persian Gulf following the virtual closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Subscribe and login

Unlock Your Daily Briefing

Get the latest headlines, exclusive reports, and important updates delivered directly to your inbox.